This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
A=France reaches final, B=France wins tournament. Every winner must reach final, but finalists can lose. B⊆A, so A is superset. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning the World Cup requires reaching the final, but reaching the final doesn't guarantee winning. Every B=YES world implies A=YES, but not vice versa. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
To win the World Cup, France must advance to knockout stages. But advancing to knockouts doesn't require winning the tournament. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES