Matched market clusters across every venue PMXT covers. A green “actionable gap” means the same question (relation identity) at ≥90% confidence — otherwise the markets are related but you should verify resolution rules before treating the spread as an arb.
| Market | Venues | Relation | Gap | 24h Vol | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? - OKX IPO in 2026? Crypto | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 90 pts0% – 90% | $53.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessOpinion+2 | Identity96% | 88 pts0% – 88% | $28.3M | Actionable gap |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? - Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Politics | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 91 pts0% – 91% | $23.3M | Actionable gap |
| Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessOpinion+2 | Identity98% | 86 pts0% – 86% | $11.4M | Actionable gap |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? - Anthropic acquired before 2027? AI | PolymarketLimitlessOpinion | Identity100% | 96 pts4% – 100% | $10.9M | Actionable gap |
| Worlds 2026 Winning Region - Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? Sports | PolymarketOpinionMyriad | Identity100% | 5 pts95% – 100% | $10.7M | Actionable gap |
| Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Crypto | PolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity100% | 97 pts0% – 97% | $10.2M | Actionable gap |
| Will Abstract launch a token by ...? - December 31, 2026 | OpinionProbable | Identity90% | 85 pts0% – 85% | $9.9M | Actionable gap |
| Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ? - Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? Crypto | PolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity100% | 91 pts0% – 91% | $9.6M | Actionable gap |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? Specials | LimitlessProbable | Identity100% | 4 pts0% – 4% | $9.4M | Actionable gap |
| LPL 2026 Season Winner - Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? league of legends | PolymarketOpinion | Identity100% | 0 pts100% – 100% | $9.2M | Actionable gap |
| Will the England win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessOpinion+2 | Identity97% | 100 pts0% – 100% | $8.3M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Norway | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 94 pts0% – 94% | $8.2M | Actionable gap |
| Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Crypto | PolymarketLimitlessOpinionProbable | Identity93% | 87 pts0% – 87% | $6.4M | Actionable gap |
| StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch? - StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Pre-Market | PolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity95% | 97 pts0% – 97% | $5.8M | Actionable gap |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Big Tech | PolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity95% | 81 pts0% – 81% | $5.5M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Morocco | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 98 pts0% – 98% | $5.3M | Actionable gap |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ? - Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? Crypto | PolymarketLimitlessOpinionProbable | Identity93% | 100 pts0% – 100% | $5.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will Base launch a token by ...? - December 31, 2026 | OpinionProbable | Identity90% | 86 pts0% – 86% | $5M | Actionable gap |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? - Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Politics | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 95 pts0% – 95% | $5M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - France | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 84 pts0% – 84% | $4.7M | Actionable gap |
| Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Crypto | PolymarketLimitlessOpinionProbable | Identity93% | 96 pts0% – 96% | $4.4M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Belgium | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 99 pts0% – 99% | $4.4M | Actionable gap |
| Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Crypto | PolymarketLimitlessOpinionProbable | Identity97% | 84 pts0% – 84% | $4.2M | Actionable gap |
| Pump.fun airdrop by ....? - Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Crypto | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 78 pts0% – 78% | $3.7M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - USA | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 97 pts0% – 97% | $3.5M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Japan | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 96 pts0% – 96% | $3.3M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Italy | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 100 pts0% – 100% | $2.6M | Actionable gap |
| Human moon landing in 2026? - Human moon landing in 2026? Tech | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 97 pts0% – 97% | $2.1M | Actionable gap |
| StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch? - StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Pre-Market | PolymarketLimitlessOpinionProbable | Identity99% | 89 pts0% – 89% | $2.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? - Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? zelenskyy | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 85 pts0% – 85% | $2M | Actionable gap |
| Kraken IPO by ___ ? - Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? exchange | PolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity95% | 71 pts0% – 71% | $1.7M | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Germany | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 98 pts0% – 98% | $1.5M | Actionable gap |
| Worlds 2026 Winning Region - Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? Sports | PolymarketOpinionMyriad | Identity95% | 4 pts96% – 100% | $1M | Actionable gap |
| Will Lionel Messi lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessOpinion | Identity97% | 38 pts62% – 100% | $1M | Actionable gap |
| Worlds 2026 Winning Region - Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Sports | PolymarketOpinionMyriad | Identity100% | 5 pts91% – 96% | $1M | Actionable gap |
| Will the Switzerland win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity98% | 99 pts0% – 99% | $988.3K | Actionable gap |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? - Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Denmark | PolymarketLimitlessProbable | Identity100% | 94 pts0% – 94% | $947.1K | Actionable gap |
| Worlds 2026 Winning Region - Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Sports | PolymarketOpinionMyriad | Identity98% | 9 pts61% – 71% | $947.1K | Actionable gap |
| LPL 2026 Season Winner - Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? league of legends | PolymarketOpinion | Identity100% | 2 pts97% – 99% | $891.7K | Actionable gap |
| Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch? - Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? Crypto | PolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity93% | 100 pts0% – 100% | $791.7K | Actionable gap |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Portugal | OpinionProbable | Identity100% | 96 pts0% – 96% | $747.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? Elections | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessOpinion+1 | Identity99% | 5 pts95% – 100% | $697.3K | Actionable gap |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2027? Companies | KalshiPolymarketOpinionProbable | Identity97% | 94 pts0% – 94% | $691.1K | Actionable gap |
| Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament? Sports | KalshiPolymarketOpinion | Identity98% | 1 pts100% – 100% | $687.5K | Actionable gap |
| Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? Elections | KalshiPolymarketOpinionMyriad | Identity98% | 16 pts84% – 100% | $677K | Actionable gap |
| Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? Elections | KalshiPolymarketMyriad | Identity100% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $646.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will John Thune be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? Elections | KalshiPolymarketMyriad | Identity98% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $625.6K | Actionable gap |
| Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? Elections | KalshiPolymarketMyriad | Identity97% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $621.7K | Actionable gap |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 - Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Politics | PolymarketMyriad | Identity100% | 0 pts99% – 99% | $617K | Actionable gap |