Matched market clusters across every venue PMXT covers. A green “actionable gap” means the same question (relation identity) at ≥90% confidence — otherwise the markets are related but you should verify resolution rules before treating the spread as an arb.
| Market | Venues | Relation | Gap | 24h Vol | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? - OKX IPO in 2026? Crypto | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 89 pts0% – 89% | $53.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will Arsenal win the Champions League Winner? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity98% | 50 pts50% – 100% | $23.4M | Actionable gap |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? - Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Politics | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 85 pts0% – 85% | $23.3M | Actionable gap |
| Will PSG win the Champions League Winner? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 46 pts54% – 100% | $19.9M | Actionable gap |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? Off the Pitch | LimitlessProbable | Identity100% | 50 pts0% – 50% | $9.4M | Actionable gap |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? - Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? Politics | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 97 pts0% – 97% | $6.8M | Actionable gap |
| Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity97% | 1 pts56% – 58% | $6.6M | Actionable gap |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Big Tech | PolymarketProbable | Identity95% | 69 pts0% – 69% | $5.4M | Actionable gap |
| Pump.fun airdrop by ....? - Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Crypto | PolymarketProbable | Identity100% | 75 pts0% – 75% | $3.7M | Actionable gap |
| PSG vs Arsenal Winner? Sports | KalshiLimitless | Identity95% | 34 pts53% – 87% | $2.7M | Actionable gap |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Pre-TGE | LimitlessProbable | Identity100% | 18 pts0% – 18% | $2.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will the Oklahoma City win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity97% | 2 pts57% – 59% | $1.6M | Actionable gap |
| Will the Netherlands win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 1 pts95% – 96% | $1.5M | Actionable gap |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarket | Identity95% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $1.5M | Actionable gap |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarket | Identity95% | 0 pts100% – 100% | $1.5M | Actionable gap |
| Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? Elections | KalshiPolymarket | Identity100% | 3 pts74% – 77% | $1.4M | Actionable gap |
| Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity92% | 1 pts67% – 68% | $1.4M | Actionable gap |
| Will the Australia win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarket | Identity95% | 0 pts100% – 100% | $1.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will Barack Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Elections | KalshiPolymarketMyriad | Identity100% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $1.1M | Actionable gap |
| Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity98% | 1 pts74% – 75% | $1M | Actionable gap |
| Will both teams score? Sports | KalshiLimitless | Identity95% | 49 pts50% – 99% | $912.8K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Croatia win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 0 pts99% – 99% | $893.1K | Actionable gap |
| Will the South Korea win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity98% | 0 pts99% – 100% | $797.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Morocco win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 0 pts99% – 99% | $775.4K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Mexico win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 2 pts97% – 99% | $730K | Actionable gap |
| Will the USA win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 0 pts98% – 99% | $706.2K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Portugal win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 15 pts75% – 90% | $685.6K | Actionable gap |
| Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity98% | 4 pts79% – 84% | $677.1K | Actionable gap |
| Eastern Conference Finals Winner? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity98% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $642.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Colombia win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 1 pts98% – 99% | $569.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will Liz Cheney be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Elections | KalshiPolymarketMyriad | Identity98% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $543.4K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Switzerland win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity98% | 0 pts99% – 99% | $520.9K | Actionable gap |
| Fed Decision in June? - Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Economic Policy | PolymarketLimitless | Identity95% | 0 pts99% – 99% | $519K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Japan win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 1 pts98% – 99% | $518.5K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Germany win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 1 pts94% – 95% | $514.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the French Open? Sports | KalshiPolymarket | Identity95% | 2 pts97% – 99% | $507.1K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Belgium win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 1 pts98% – 99% | $457.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will the England win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 4 pts88% – 93% | $455.2K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Uruguay win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity96% | 0 pts99% – 99% | $453.1K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity97% | 0 pts83% – 83% | $451.3K | Actionable gap |
| Will Cory Booker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Elections | KalshiPolymarketMyriad | Identity98% | 1 pts99% – 100% | $449K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Norway win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 1 pts97% – 99% | $445.5K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 4 pts91% – 95% | $439.2K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Oklahoma City win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitless | Identity97% | 2 pts57% – 59% | $430.3K | Actionable gap |
| UEFA Champions League Winner - Man City Sports | LimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 0 pts100% – 100% | $427.7K | Actionable gap |
| Will the Brazil win the 2026 Men's World Cup? Sports | KalshiPolymarketLimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 6 pts91% – 97% | $425.4K | Actionable gap |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Pre-TGE | LimitlessProbable | Identity100% | 13 pts0% – 13% | $422.2K | Actionable gap |
| Will Real Madrid win the Champions League Winner? Sports | KalshiLimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 2 pts98% – 100% | $417.8K | Actionable gap |
| UEFA Champions League Winner - Dortmund Sports | LimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 0 pts100% – 100% | $417.5K | Actionable gap |
| UEFA Champions League Winner - Inter Sports | LimitlessMyriad | Identity95% | 0 pts100% – 100% | $417.1K | Actionable gap |