This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
A=France reaches final, B=France wins tournament. Every winner must reach final, but finalists can lose. B⊆A, so A is superset. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=France reaches final, B=France wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning the World Cup requires reaching the final, but reaching the final doesn't guarantee winning it. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching the final requires advancing through quarterfinals. France can qualify for quarterfinals but lose before the final. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Reaching final requires qualifying for Round of 16 first. A=YES doesn't guarantee final. B=YES logically requires A=YES. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES