This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Not Will Satoshi Move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 0.0¢ | — |
| Will Satoshi Move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 0.0¢ | — |
B (winning World Cup) implies A (reaching final) but not vice versa. Portugal can reach final without winning it. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning World Cup requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning it. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A: Portugal reaches final. B: Portugal wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't guarantee winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Reaching final requires advancing to knockout stages first. Portugal can advance to knockouts but lose before final. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching final requires qualifying for semifinals first. Portugal can qualify for semifinals but lose there, so B=YES doesn't imply A=YES. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES