This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockouts, but advancing doesn't guarantee winning. B⊆A, so proposed superset is incorrect. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=YES (Portugal advances to knockout) is broader than B=YES (Portugal wins tournament). Winning requires advancing, but advancing doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A covers knockout advancement, B covers semifinals. Every B=YES world requires A=YES, but A=YES allows early knockout elimination. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Quarterfinals qualification requires advancing to knockout stages first. Portugal can advance to knockouts but be eliminated before quarterfinals. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching final requires advancing to knockout stages first. Portugal can advance to knockouts but lose before final. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Portugal being furthest European nation requires advancing past group stage, but Portugal can advance to knockouts without being furthest European. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES