This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockout stages. Mexico can advance but not win (lose later). Every World Cup winner must first advance. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockouts, but advancing doesn't require winning. A is superset of B. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
B (semifinals) requires A (knockout stages) - can't reach semis without advancing from group stage. A doesn't require B - can advance but lose early. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Quarterfinals qualification requires advancing to knockout stages first. Mexico can advance to knockouts but lose before quarterfinals. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A is subset of B. Group A qualification implies knockout advancement, but advancement possible via third-place without group qualification. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |