This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
B=YES (Mexico wins group) always implies A=YES (Mexico qualifies), but A=YES allows Mexico to qualify as 2nd place without winning group. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A is subset of B. Group A qualification implies knockout advancement, but advancement possible via third-place without group qualification. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES