This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
A=YES (advance to knockout) is broader than B=YES (win tournament). Every World Cup winner must advance to knockout stages, but teams can advance without winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A resolves YES if Colombia reaches final. B resolves YES only if Colombia wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=Colombia reaches Final. B=Colombia wins tournament. Winning requires reaching Final, but reaching Final doesn't guarantee winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES