A=reaching final, B=winning tournament. Every winner must reach final, but finalists can lose. B⊆A confirmed. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A resolves YES if Colombia reaches final. B resolves YES only if Colombia wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning World Cup requires reaching final. Colombia can reach final without winning it. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Market B (reaching final) logically requires Market A (qualifying for Round of 16). Every team reaching final must have qualified for Round of 16 first. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |