USA winning the World Cup requires advancing to knockout stages, but advancing doesn't require winning the tournament. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=USA advances to knockouts, B=USA wins tournament. Winning requires advancing, but advancing doesn't require winning. A⊃B confirmed. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
B⊆A: Reaching semifinals requires advancing to knockouts, but advancing to knockouts doesn't guarantee semifinals. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Quarterfinals qualification requires first advancing to knockout stage. USA can advance to knockout but lose before quarterfinals. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Market A allows USA to advance via any route to knockout stages. Market B only covers Group D qualification. B=YES implies A=YES, but A can be YES without B. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |