This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
B is subset of A. USA winning requires qualifying for Final, but qualifying doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=USA reaches final, B=USA wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
B⊆A: Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockouts. A can be true without B (early knockout exit). Proposed superset is backwards. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=USA advances to knockouts, B=USA wins tournament. Winning requires advancing, but advancing doesn't require winning. A⊃B confirmed. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES