This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Not Will Satoshi Move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 0.0¢ | — |
| Will Satoshi Move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 0.0¢ | — |
A=Netherlands advances to knockouts. B=Netherlands wins World Cup. Winning requires advancing, but advancing doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A team can qualify for Final but lose it. However, winning World Cup requires reaching Final, so B=YES implies A=YES. A is superset of B. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=Netherlands reaches final, B=Netherlands wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A team can reach the final without winning. Every winner must reach the final. B⊆A, so A is superset of B. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES