This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockouts, but advancing doesn't require winning. A⊃B confirmed. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=advancing to knockout stages, B=winning World Cup. Every World Cup winner must advance to knockouts, but teams can advance without winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning Group J guarantees advancement to knockout stages, but teams can advance without winning their group (as runner-up). A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A is broader: advancing to knockouts doesn't guarantee semifinals, but reaching semifinals requires advancing to knockouts first. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Quarterfinals qualification requires knockout stage advancement first. A=YES implies B=YES always. B=YES doesn't require quarterfinals. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching final requires advancing to knockout stages first. A=YES implies B=YES, but B=YES doesn't guarantee A=YES. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES