This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockouts, but advancing doesn't require winning the tournament. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A is Brazil advancing to knockouts, B is Brazil winning World Cup. Every B=YES world requires Brazil to advance (A=YES), but A can be YES without winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
B is subset of A. Reaching semifinals requires first advancing to knockouts, but advancing to knockouts doesn't guarantee semifinals. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Finishing 1st in group guarantees knockout advancement, but teams can advance finishing 2nd/3rd. A⊆B confirmed. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A requires quarterfinal qualification, B only requires knockout stage advancement. Quarterfinals come after knockout stages, so A=YES implies B=YES but not vice versa. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching World Cup final requires first advancing to knockout stages. A=YES logically implies B=YES, but B=YES doesn't require reaching final. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Market B requires Brazil qualify from Group C specifically. Market A only requires Brazil advance to knockouts from any group. B=>A but not A=>B. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES