This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
A=England reaches final, B=England wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't guarantee winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A resolves YES if England reaches final (win or lose). B resolves YES only if England wins tournament. Every B=YES world requires A=YES, but not vice versa. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning the World Cup requires reaching the final, but reaching the final doesn't guarantee winning it. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching the final requires qualifying for quarterfinals first. England can qualify for quarterfinals but not reach final by losing earlier rounds. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Reaching final requires qualifying for R16 first. A=YES doesn't guarantee reaching final. B=YES logically requires A=YES. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |