This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
A=Uruguay reaches final, B=Uruguay wins tournament. Every winner must reach final, but reaching final doesn't guarantee winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Winning World Cup requires reaching final. Uruguay can reach final without winning (lose in final). Clear logical subset relationship. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A is Uruguay reaching final, B is Uruguay winning tournament. B=YES requires reaching final (A=YES), but A=YES allows losing in final (B=NO). B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Reaching final requires qualifying for Round of 16, but qualifying doesn't require reaching final. A⊃B confirmed. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Reaching final requires qualifying for quarterfinals first. Uruguay can qualify for quarterfinals but not reach final by losing in quarters/semis. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES