This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
Winning World Cup requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't guarantee winning. A=YES logically implies B=YES, but B=YES doesn't imply A=YES. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A is about qualifying for Final, B is about winning tournament. Winning requires qualifying, but qualifying doesn't guarantee winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Brazil winning the World Cup requires reaching the Final, but reaching the Final doesn't guarantee winning. B⊆A, not A⊇B as proposed. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES