This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
To win World Cup, Switzerland must advance to knockouts. But advancing to knockouts doesn't require winning the tournament. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
B (finishing 1st in Group B) guarantees A (advancing to knockouts), but A can occur without B through 2nd place or best 3rd-place qualification. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Quarterfinals qualification requires advancing to knockouts first. Switzerland can advance to knockouts but lose before quarterfinals. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
Reaching semifinals requires advancing to knockouts first. A=YES (knockout qualification) is broader than B=YES (semifinal qualification). B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
For Switzerland to be furthest advancing European nation, it must advance to knockout stages. But Switzerland can advance without being furthest European. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES