This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
B=YES (winning tournament) logically requires A=YES (reaching final), but A=YES doesn't require B=YES since teams can reach final and lose. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=Morocco reaches final, B=Morocco wins tournament. Winning requires reaching final, but reaching final doesn't require winning. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Reaching final requires qualifying for quarterfinals first. Morocco can qualify for quarters but not reach final, but cannot reach final without qualifying for quarters. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
To reach the final, Morocco must first qualify for Round of 16. A=YES doesn't guarantee B=YES since teams can be eliminated after Round of 16. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |