This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
PMXT found this market on only one venue, so there's no cross-venue gap to compute. Showing this venue's current prices.
| Outcome | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No | 0.0¢ | — |
| Yes | 0.0¢ | — |
Winning World Cup requires advancing to knockout stages, but advancing doesn't require winning the tournament. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=YES (knockout advance) doesn't require B=YES (win tournament), but B=YES (win) requires A=YES (must advance). A is superset of B. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Belgium can advance to knockouts without winning Group G (via 2nd place or best 3rd). But winning Group G guarantees knockout advancement. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
Quarterfinals require advancing to knockouts first. Belgium can advance to knockouts but exit before quarterfinals. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
A is advancing to knockout stages, B is reaching semifinals. Every semifinalist must first advance to knockouts, but not every knockout qualifier reaches semis. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES
A=YES requires Belgium to be furthest advancing European nation, which logically requires Belgium to advance to knockouts (B=YES). But B can be YES while other Europeans advance further. A=YES implies B=YES; B=YES does not imply A=YES
B requires Group G qualification, A only requires knockout advancement by any path. B=>A but A doesn't require Group G win. B=YES implies A=YES; A=YES does not imply B=YES